Wall Street traders and market watchers love their landmark moments. When the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit 30,000 in November 2020, social distancing meant the celebrations were more muted than usual, but traders wearing "Dow 30,000" baseball caps still clapped and cheered. Then-President Donald Trump even held a press conference to mark the milestone.

There's a good chance we'll be seeing another Dow Jones landmark reached very shortly. With the index currently standing at around 38,800, those Dow 40,000 caps are probably already on order.

But what if we told you that the Dow Jones is not far off a much bigger landmark — Dow 100,000? Well, it is in fact true, and, at least in our opinion here at IFA, it's worthy of an even bigger celebration than whatever's planned for Dow 40,000.

The Dow, you see, is a price-only index. The price reflects the change in the market price of the index since inception, and it's calculated by comparing the current price of the index to its price when the index launched. Crucially, though, it does not take into account the dividends generated by the companies that make up the index.

Dividends are vital

That, in our view, is a serious omission, because, as financial columnist James Mackintosh recently explained, dividends are a vital component of investment returns. "Over the long run," Mackintosh wrote in the Wall Street Journal, "the compounding effect of reinvesting dividends makes a huge difference to returns. In the past half-century, U.S. stocks turned $100 into $6,200 without dividends (ignoring costs and taxes) while with dividends they would be worth $25,000."

In other words, price returns give a very misleading impression of the returns investors in a particular index have actually received. For a comprehensive picture, you need to look at total returns. The total return of a stock market index accounts for both the capital gains, or price appreciation, and any dividends received from the constituents of the index. In short, the total return reflects the actual yield of an index over time.

It's not just the Dow Jones that ignores dividends. So does the S&P 500. In fact, in every major country with the exception of Germany and Brazil, it's the price return of an index that's commonly quoted.

Mark Hebner, the founder of Index Fund Advisors, says it's a practice that misleads investors. He has recently launched a petition calling on financial media outlets around the world to start quoting total return index values.

"We would all be better off," he says, "if we focused on total return instead of price return, or what I like to call partial return. But that is hard to do when virtually all financial media reports price-only return indices. The fact that it's always been done like that is a very bad reason for carrying on doing it."

The UK, Australia and Canada are prime examples

Hebner cites the UK's flagship index, the FTSE 100, as a prime example of why the system needs changing.

"We were astounded when we ran the numbers for the FTSE 100," he says. "For comparative purposes, we took the closing index value of the FTSE 100 price return index as of the same inception date of the FTSE 100 total return Index — 1st January 1986 — and then grew the FTSE 100 price return index by the annualized return of the FTSE 100 total return index, ending on 29th February 2024. The price return was 7,629, but the total return was 32,477.

"Then we looked at average annual returns. The annualized price return was 4.52%, but the annualized total return was 8.56%. To put that another way, around 47% of the investment return of the FTSE 100 came from dividends!

"Australia's S&P/ ASX 200 is another example of an index in which dividends have made a very significant contribution to the total market return. Over the last 10 years, the price-only index, which is what virtually all financial media reports, has had an annualized return of only 3.69%, which is more like a return for bonds than stocks. The total return was much higher at 8.07%.

"Canada is another case in point. Over 10 years, the price return of the Canadian S&P/ TSX Composite Index was 4.28%, but the total return was 7.49%. Again, that's a big difference."

If you agree with us that total return should take precedence over price return, please sign our petition. And remember: dividends are a very important part of the reward investors receive for investing in equities. As long as you stay invested, and reinvest any dividends you receive, you should be amply rewarded in the long run. Now that really is worth celebrating.


This is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, recommendation, or endorsement of any particular security, product or service. There is no guarantee investment strategies will be successful. Investing involves risks, including possible loss of principal.  For more information about Index Fund Advisors, Inc, please review our brochure at https://www.adviserinfo.sec.gov/ or visit www.ifa.com.


About Index Fund Advisors

Index Fund Advisors, Inc. (IFA) is a fee-only advisory and wealth management firm that provides risk-appropriate, returns-optimized, globally-diversified and tax-managed investment strategies with a fiduciary standard of care.

Founded in 1999, IFA is a Registered Investment Adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission that provides investment advice to individuals, trusts, corporations, non-profits, and public and private institutions. Based in Irvine, California, IFA manages individual and institutional accounts, including IRA, 401(k), 403(b), profit sharing, pensions, endowments and all other investment accounts. IFA also facilitates IRA rollovers from 401(k)s and 403(b)s.

Learn more about the value of IFA, or Become a Client. To determine your risk capacity, take the Risk Capacity Survey.

SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

About the Author

Robin Powell

Robin Powell - Creative Director

Robin is a journalist and campaigner for positive change in global investing. He runs Regis Media, a niche provider of content marketing for financial advice firms with an evidence-based investment philosophy. He also works as a consultant to other disruptive firms in the investing sector.

Robin Powell
Written By Robin Powell

Creative Director

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