Geopolitical Risk & Investing: How to Safeguard Your Portfolio

Murray Coleman
Updated: Sunday, October 29, 2023 Originally Published: Friday February 25, 2022
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Turbulent times can lead to apprehension and a certain sense of malaise by investors. This includes everything from epidemics and natural disasters to military conflicts. Indeed, Russia's invasion of Ukraine and Middle East conflicts serve as important reminders that geopolitical risk is a part of investing in global markets. 

Behavioral finance scientists have related making investment decisions during such periods of heightened volatility to driving while feeling the symptoms of vertigo. Trying to predict how markets will react in the moment based on the latest geopolitical scare too often spurs investors to shoot from the hip, so to speak. 

The chart and table below show how major events in the past could've whipsawed a normally patient investor's portfolio. In a vast majority of those cases — from Japan's bombing of Pearl Harbor and North Korea invading South Korea to terrorist attacks on 9/11 — the Dow Jones Industrial Average took a precipitous fall.  

Also worth noting: The latest data showed the IFA Index 100 Portfolio had no exposure to Russian stocks. Likewise, such a passively managed all-equity portfolio of index funds had 1.16% invested in the Middle East, according to Morningstar data. 

The takeaway here is clear — market volatility shouldn't be considered as an anomaly. Whether caused by a military action or pandemic, a roller coaster effect in securities pricing is a regular part of investing. 

As a result, we invite all IFA clients to discuss creating an individually tailored financial plan with their wealth advisors. We offer such a holistic planning tool on a complimentary basis. If you've already started such a process, we also encourage you to check back with your advisor when major life events happen or notable changes in your financial goals take place. 

In the meantime, in case you're feeling tempted to make portfolio tweaks, we like to recommend you take our Risk Capacity Survey. This online tool is often used by IFA clients to reassess whether they own the most risk-appropriate portfolio given each investor's unique financial situation.


This is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, recommendation, or endorsement of any particular security, product or service. There is no guarantee investment strategies will be successful.  Investing involves risks, including possible loss of principal. Take the IFA Risk Capacity Survey (www.ifa.com/survey) to determine which portfolio captures the right mix of stock and bond funds best suited to you.  For more information about Index Fund Advisors, Inc, please review our brochure at https://www.adviserinfo.sec.gov/ or visit www.ifa.com.


About Index Fund Advisors

Index Fund Advisors, Inc. (IFA) is a fee-only advisory and wealth management firm that provides risk-appropriate, returns-optimized, globally-diversified and tax-managed investment strategies with a fiduciary standard of care.

Founded in 1999, IFA is a Registered Investment Adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission that provides investment advice to individuals, trusts, corporations, non-profits, and public and private institutions. Based in Irvine, California, IFA manages individual and institutional accounts, including IRA, 401(k), 403(b), profit sharing, pensions, endowments and all other investment accounts. IFA also facilitates IRA rollovers from 401(k)s and 403(b)s.

Learn more about the value of IFA, or Become a Client. To determine your risk capacity, take the Risk Capacity Survey.

SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

About the Author

Murray Coleman

Murray Coleman - Financial Writer - Index Fund Advisors

Murray is a financial writer at Index Fund Advisors. Prior to joining IFA, he worked as a funds reporter for The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, Barron's and MarketWatch.

Murray Coleman
Written By Murray Coleman

Financial Writer - Index Fund Advisors

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